UK Strikes Trio of Trade Deals in May

UK Strikes Trio of Trade Deals in May

The UK government has made major strides in strengthening its international trade relationships this May, concluding three key agreements with India (6 May), the United States (8 May), and the European Union (19 May).

These agreements could reshape trade routes and sourcing decisions, reduce costs, and create new opportunities for exporters and importers alike. With further negotiations under way with Gulf nations, the UK is expanding its global footprint.

UK-EU Agreement Reduces Border Friction
The updated UK-EU agreement, the first substantial step forward in post-Brexit cooperation, sets out revised terms for trade, fishing rights and defence collaboration. Of particular note is the reduction in bureaucracy around food shipments, with most routine checks on animal and plant products travelling between the UK and EU scrapped.

This could significantly ease the administrative burden and reduce delays for companies dealing in perishable goods. However, details on how the agreement affects the movement of non-food goods, including machinery, textiles and other industrial or consumer products, remain to be clarified.

While the deal does not represent a return to the frictionless trade of the pre-Brexit era, it is an encouraging signal that practical cooperation is possible. For businesses that rely on predictable cross-border movements, this agreement may help restore a degree of confidence.

US Agreement Offers Narrow, Targeted Relief
Despite being framed as a “trade deal”, the UK-US agreement is a limited, sector-specific tariff arrangement rather than a full-scale free trade agreement. That said, it delivers tangible relief in several key areas.

For UK exporters of vehicles, the US has cut its tariff from 25% to 10%, but only for up to 100,000 vehicles annually. This mirrors the volume of UK exports in 2024, but it places a hard ceiling on further growth, with exports above that threshold subject to a 27.5% tariff.

The removal of 25% tariffs on UK steel and aluminium also brings welcome relief to manufacturers. However, these benefits come with conditions, including expected quotas and continued duties on certain products made with these metals, such as gym equipment and industrial machinery.

While the UK has dropped some tariffs on US food and agricultural products, reciprocal benefits for UK exporters beyond the automotive and metal sectors remain limited. A blanket 10% US tariff still applies to most other UK goods, and a 25% tariff on UK automotive parts remains in place. Details on additional product categories, including consumer goods and manufactured components, are expected in due course.

The deal is a step forward, but it leaves a patchwork of tariffs and quotas that will require careful navigation. Legal and regulatory uncertainties will persist in the months ahead as negotiations continue and further details emerge.

India Deal Signals Long-Term Growth Potential
The UK’s agreement with India stands out as the most comprehensive and forward-looking of the three deals. It includes significant tariff reductions and market access improvements across a wide range of products, and is forecast to increase bilateral trade by £25.5 billion annually by 2040.

UK exports set to benefit include whisky, gin, aerospace components, medical devices, cosmetics, and high-end vehicles. In return, the UK will lower tariffs on Indian exports such as clothing, footwear, frozen foodstuffs, jewellery, and processed goods.

For importers, the deal offers more competitive access to one of the world’s fastest-growing economies. For exporters, it opens the door to India’s expanding middle class, which is already larger than the entire population of the EU and is hungry for high-quality, internationally branded products.

Beyond tariffs, the agreement promises to streamline customs procedures and reduce non-tariff barriers, improvements that will be welcomed by any business frustrated by red tape or unpredictable clearance processes. However, the full legal text is yet to be published, and the final impact will depend on detailed implementation rules, particularly around rules of origin and product classifications.

Looking at Gulf Nations Opportunities
Speaking to the BBC on 20 May, Chancellor Rachel Reeves confirmed that the UK’s next strategic focus is on securing trade agreements with countries in the Gulf, including Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar. Ongoing discussions aim to boost UK exports of food and drink, renewable energy technologies, and manufactured goods, while encouraging more inward investment.

Reeves also clarified that the government is “not looking to have trade negotiations” with China, which draws a line under speculation about future UK-China trade relations for the foreseeable future.

Implications for UK Businesses
For UK businesses, whether they import raw materials or finished goods, or export to overseas markets, these deals bring both opportunity and complexity. While tariff reductions and customs streamlining can offer immediate cost savings and efficiency gains, the sector-specific and quota-based nature of the agreements means that success will depend on careful planning and informed decision-making.

The three deals signal a broader shift in the UK’s trade strategy, one that favours targeted, bilateral agreements over sweeping free trade pacts. They also reflect a pragmatic effort to strengthen links with fast-growing economies and key strategic allies.

As implementation details unfold and further negotiations continue, UK businesses will need to stay agile, review their supply chains, and consider how to best take advantage of the new landscape.

Metro’s established freight services, in-house customs brokerage, and on-the-ground teams in both India and the United States mean we’re uniquely placed to help UK businesses respond to this new trade landscape.

Whether you’re reviewing sourcing strategies, navigating new tariffs, or planning market entry, our experts can support you with compliant, cost-effective solutions across every mode and market.

EMAIL Managing Director, Andrew Smith to explore how we can optimise your global trade strategy.

Trump’s Red Sea Gambit

Trump’s Red Sea Gambit

A dramatic shift in the Red Sea shipping crisis may be underway following US President Donald Trump’s announcement that Houthi militants have agreed to halt their campaign against commercial vessels.

His declaration has sparked hopes of restored freedom of navigation through one of the world’s most vital maritime corridors. However, conflicting signals from the Houthis and persistent security concerns leave the industry navigating uncertain waters.

Trump’s comments, made ahead of a high-profile meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on May 6, suggested that after months of military escalation, a breakthrough had been reached. The President claimed that the Houthis had “capitulated” and would cease missile and drone strikes on commercial shipping. He pledged that US airstrikes on Yemeni targets would also end in response.

Omani diplomatic sources have echoed the ceasefire narrative, pointing to coordinated discussions that purportedly yielded a de-escalation agreement and a commitment to non-aggression on both sides.

Yet, the Houthis have swiftly rejected Trump’s portrayal, asserting that no formal truce exists. According to Houthi representatives, the group’s military stance remains unchanged, particularly in relation to Israel, and any pause in attacks was a tactical decision rather than the result of concessions.

This ambiguity undermines confidence among major container lines, many of which continue to avoid Red Sea routes due to crew safety concerns and inflated insurance premiums.

If hostilities genuinely subside, container carriers could begin rerouting vessels back through the Suez Canal. Around 10% of global container capacity has been absorbed by the longer, costlier voyages around southern Africa. A return to Suez would free up this latent capacity, potentially exacerbating overcapacity issues already pressuring the industry. With the container vessel order book standing at about a quarter of the current fleet size, the market faces mounting risk of supply-demand imbalance.

Freight rates, which surged earlier due to the Red Sea crisis, could spike again if carriers resume shorter transits en masse, before softening once schedules settle back down. And while rate increases and extended lead times could finally see some relief the resulting supply-side glut may create new headaches for the container shipping lines.

Port activity along the Red Sea remains subdued, with volumes reportedly down by around half compared to last year. A reliable and lasting resolution could rejuvenate regional trade flows, benefiting not only global carriers but also Gulf-based shippers and transhipment hubs that have been cut off from direct east-west routes.

For now, the shipping industry remains caught between political theatre and on-the-ground reality. Whether Trump’s announcement marks the dawn of stability or another premature claim depends on actions in the Bab al-Mandab, not words in Washington.

The situation in the Red Sea remains unpredictable and liable to change. If your business relies on consistent global shipping operations, this is the perfect time to review your contingency plans and explore flexible alternatives. EMAIL Andy Smith, Managing Director, to learn how we maintain stability and keep supply chains running smoothly, whatever the challenge.

IMEC: Europe’s New Trade Bridge to India

IMEC: Europe’s New Trade Bridge to India

Launched as a strategic counterweight to China’s Belt and Road Initiative, the India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) is poised to reshape global trade flows between Europe, India, and beyond.

Backed by a coalition of world powers including the US, EU, India, and key Middle Eastern nations, IMEC promises to link South Asia with Europe through a multimodal network of ports, railways, and digital and energy infrastructure.

Announced during the G20 summit in New Delhi in 2023, the corridor will connect India’s western coast to Europe via the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Israel. From India’s planned Vadhavan deepwater port, ships would cross the Arabian Sea to Jebel Ali in the UAE, with cargo then moving by rail across the Arabian Peninsula to Israel’s port of Haifa. A final sea leg would take goods from the Mediterranean into European markets.

The corridor is designed to shorten transit times between India and Europe by up to 40%, with a summit of IMEC partners planned before the end of 2025 to present concrete initiatives.

With an estimated cost of $600 billion, IMEC also includes undersea data cables and pipelines for green hydrogen, making it as much an energy and digital connectivity play as a trade route.

Initial implementation has focused on India’s western coast, where the Modi government has greenlit the construction of the Vadhavan port. This $9 billion project is designed to handle mega-vessels and includes dedicated terminals for petroleum and automobile imports. Operational capacity is expected to reach nearly 300 million metric tons per year, with phased completion set for 2029.

From Europe’s perspective, IMEC opens up long-term opportunities to diversify supply chains, reduce reliance on volatile routes like the Suez Canal, and deepen strategic engagement with India. Transiting via Haifa not only provides a direct connection into the Mediterranean, but also serves as a hedge against disruptions in the Red Sea, including threats posed by Houthi rebel activity.

However, IMEC’s path is not without hurdles. Political instability in the region threaten the corridor’s viability and experts argue that normalised Saudi-Israeli relations would be key to securing the route, especially to ensure infrastructure security and cross-border cooperation.

India sees IMEC as central to its export-led growth model. Trade flows between India and Europe are forecast to grow by 6% annually through 2032, but current infrastructure cannot handle the expected increase. By offering a more direct and integrated pathway, IMEC positions India as a vital hub in global supply chains.

While financing remains a key challenge, particularly for European stakeholders juggling defence, energy, and industrial spending, IMEC’s geopolitical weight initially secured rare bipartisan backing in Washington. Although the project was launched during Joe Biden’s presidency, with strong US endorsement, the stance of the current administration toward international infrastructure projects remains less defined. Its evolving approach to global trade may not prioritise IMEC with the same intensity.

Images used under CC BY-SA 4.0
IMEC map
GODL-India

With India’s manufacturing capacity expanding and the IMEC corridor set to transform east–west trade, now is the time to re-evaluate your logistics strategy.

Metro is already investing in India’s future, helping global brands tap into a faster, more resilient, and sustainable trade route to Europe.

EMAIL Andrew Smith, Managing Director, to explore how our on-the-ground expertise in India can future-proof your supply chain.

Tariff turmoil threatens US importers as China trade takes a hit

Tariff turmoil threatens US importers as China trade takes a hit

After weeks of speculation, US President Donald Trump has sharply escalated tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%, while simultaneously offering a 90-day reprieve to other trading partners.

The baseline tariff of 10% applies to imports from all countries other than China, including the EU. This rate applies in addition to any existing tariffs, with certain exemptions in place for key sectors such as semiconductors, copper, lumber, pharmaceuticals, bullion, energy, and minerals not found domestically.

Meanwhile, the separate 25% tariff on automobiles and auto parts, introduced last month, remains in effect.

Tariffs of 25% also continue to apply to steel and aluminium imports across the board, alongside the existing 25% duty on goods from Mexico and Canada that do not comply with USMCA free trade agreement terms.

US retailers and importers are reacting quickly. Delaying or cancelling orders and turning to existing inventory while they wait for clarity. According to the National Retail Federation (NRF), the outlook for imports is bleak, with volumes expected to fall sharply in the coming months.

Data from Dun & Bradstreet shows that just 225,900 TEUs of US imports from Asia were booked in the past seven days, down from around 633,000 TEUs the week before. Purchase orders for fall and holiday merchandise are also being postponed by 30 to 60 days.

The NRF’s Global Port Tracker estimates a 20% year-on-year drop in US imports for the second half of 2025. June volumes are forecast to be the lowest since early 2023, with the downturn starting as soon as May. While the 90-day reprieve on non-China tariffs may cushion the blow, the wide disparity in duty rates between China and other Asian nations is already influencing global sourcing decisions.

With tariffs now exceeding 150% on some goods, many Chinese-made products are no longer viable in the US market. By contrast, the impact on goods from countries facing lower tariffs is less severe. A 10% duty typically translates to a retail price increase of around 3%, making these supply chains more resilient in the near term. As a result, sourcing is shifting rapidly towards countries like Vietnam and Taiwan, where the tariff environment is more favourable.

Despite the disruption, shipping lines remain cautiously optimistic. Many believe that once the tariff situation stabilises import volumes could rebound strongly during the peak late summer to autumn season.

Meanwhile, the administration appears to be refining its approach on another controversial measure. The proposed port fees of up to $1.5 million on Chinese-built or operated ships calling at US ports. Speaking before the Senate Finance Committee, USTR Jamieson Greer sought to ease concerns, indicating adjustments are being made to avoid damaging American export competitiveness.

“The president will look very carefully to make sure we have the right amount of time and the right incentives to create shipbuilding here without impacting our commodity exports,” Greer said.

Meanwhile, pressure is building on US Customs and Border Protection (CBP). The increased complexity of tariff codes and documentation is creating more manual processing work, and staffing levels have not risen in line with demand. There is growing concern that CBP could be overwhelmed if volumes rise suddenly or new duties are introduced.

For now, the only certainty is continued volatility. Trade flows are being redrawn, sourcing strategies are in flux, and the longer-term consequences of this tariff upheaval are only just beginning to surface.

We will share further updates as new details emerge, particularly around the EU and shifts in UK trade policy.

If you’d like to review any potential impact on your supply chain, assess your exposure, or explore strategic options, we’re here to help. Metro is well-placed to support you, backed by our expanded US footprint and strong focus on North American trade flows.

If we can help, or simply answer your questions, contact us now for prompt and tailored advice.